WISCONSIN — The race toward the White House is still extremely tight, according to a new Marquette Law School Poll national survey.
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remain in a dead heat. At least 48% of likely voters say they would choose Harris, while 47% said Trump.
Of the remaining, 4% said they’d vote for someone else and 1% said they wouldn’t vote at all. If that 5% had to choose between Harris and Trump, it’s a 50-50 tie.
Voters were also asked who they believe is likely to win in November. A slightly larger percentage (53%) said Harris will win over Trump (47%).
Harris has gained favorability among voters since she became the Democratic candidate for president, according to poll records. Trump has also slowly regained favorability since hitting a low point in Jan. 2022.
Enthusiasm has also increased among Democrats since Harris’ entrance, climbing from 34% being very enthusiastic in May to now 58% in October. Republicans have remained steady in their enthusiasm.
In Wisconsin, both candidates have made several stops to appeal to voters in a state that could very well decide their fate in November.
Trump last visited the Badger State on Oct. 6; it was his fourth visit in eight days.
“They say that Wisconsin is probably the toughest of the swing states to win,” Trump said during his opening remarks at the Juneau visit. “I don’t think so.”
Wisconsin has gone for Republicans just once in the past 40 years, when Trump won in 2016. In 2020, he lost to Democratic President Joe Biden by just under 21,000.
Harris has also made her presence known in the Badger State. She’ll visit the state for her sixth time on Thursday since entering the race. Her last visit was on Oct. 3, with a push to be a “president for all Americans.”
“This is going to be a tight race until the very end, so let’s not pay too much attention to the polls because let’s be clear: we are the underdog in this race, and we have some hard work ahead of us,” Harris said in a September visit to Madison.
The last local Marquette poll had Harris with a four-point lead ahead of Trump. Charles Franklin, the poll’s director, acknowledged in an October interview with Spectrum News, that there has been little change to those numbers over the last three polls. However, he cautioned the results of these polls can often be a “mixed bag,” pointing to polls that overstated both Clinton’s and Biden’s lead in the 2016 and 2020 elections.
The latest nationwide Marquette poll was administered from Oct. 1-10 and included interviews with 886 registered voters across the nation. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points.