MILWAUKEE — The results of the latest Marquette University Law School poll were released Wednesday, Aug. 7. The poll was released just 90 days before the November election.

It’s the first poll the university has done since June, and the first since Vice President Kamala Harris replaced President Joe Biden on the top of the Democratic ticket.

What You Need To Know

  • Among registered voters, the poll showed Harris with 49% of the vote, compared to 50% for Trump. When it comes to “likely” voters, those numbers flip, showing Harris leading with 50% while Trump trails at 49%

  • Another statistic focused on the voter enthusiasm and likelihood of voting among Wisconsin voters. Sixty-one percent of voters overall said they are looking forward to voting, compared to 46% in the last Marquette University Law School Poll

  • The latest poll numbers showed Baldwin leads Hovde among registered Wisconsin voters — with Baldwin polling at 53% of the vote and Hovde polling at 46% of the vote. That represents a slight boost for Baldwin since June’s poll, which had Baldwin at 52% and Hovde at 47%

  • The poll showed 79% of registered Wisconsin voters thought Biden made the right decision to withdraw from the race

Results showed the race in Wisconsin between Harris and former President Donald Trump is locked in a dead heat.

Among registered voters, the poll showed Harris with 49% of the vote, compared to 50% for Trump. When it comes to “likely” voters, those numbers flip, showing Harris leading with 50% while Trump trails at 49%.

Another statistic focused on the voter enthusiasm and likelihood of voting among Wisconsin voters. Sixty-one percent of voters overall said they are looking forward to voting, compared to 46% in the last Marquette University Law School Poll.

Charles Franklin, the director of the poll, said this represents the first big jump in enthusiasm this year.

The poll also showed more enthusiasm surrounding Harris — as compared to Biden — as the Democratic presidential nominee. For example, of respondents who considered themselves “very enthusiastic to vote,” 52% said they leaned toward Trump, while 47% said they leaned toward Harris. That narrowed the gap from the June poll, when 61% of those who were “very enthusiastic to vote” were leaning toward Trump and 39% toward Biden.

“You can really see how the support for Biden had slipped away,” Franklin said. “And how replacing him with Harris restores the very competitive race. But it has not put her ahead by any substantial measure either. So who knew: We were back to being a swing state.”

The poll showed 79% of registered Wisconsin voters thought Biden made the right decision to withdraw from the race.

The poll also shed light on the U.S. Senate race between incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Republican businessman Eric Hovde.

The latest poll numbers showed Baldwin leads Hovde among registered Wisconsin voters — with Baldwin polling at 53% of the vote and Hovde polling at 46% of the vote. That represents a slight boost for Baldwin since June’s poll, which had Baldwin at 52% and Hovde at 47%.

“While Baldwin’s favorability numbers have fluctuated a little positive, and a little negative, and are dead even, [her ratings are] equally favorable and unfavorable at this time,” Franklin said. “Hovde’s unfavorable ratings have gone up more over the last three polls than his favorable ratings have gone up.”

Franklin said he expects the Baldwin-Hovde Senate race to garner more attention after the Aug. 13 partisan primary and the Democratic National Convention.

For a look at the full results of the survey, click here.