After bringing damaging wind gusts and flooding to parts of the Caribbean this week, Hurricane Beryl will reemerge into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and take aim at the Lone Star State.

Beryl, which only took 42 hours to strengthen from a tropical depression to a major hurricane, has claimed the lives of at least seven people.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) warns that there is an increasing risk of strong winds, storm surge and heavy rainfall for portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas beginning late Sunday into early next week.


What You Need To Know

  • A hurricane is likely to impact the Texas coast late Sunday into Monday

  • Heavy rainfall, rough seas, storm surge and damaging winds are likely

  • Rainfall will be so heavy at times that there's an increasing risk for flash flooding
  • Storm track, intensity and specific landfall are still uncertain at this time

The latest advisory from the NHC shows Beryl with sustained winds of 100 mph impacting the Yucatan Peninsula. Hurricane-force winds, dangerous storm surge, and heavy rainfall will continue to impact this region of Mexico.

What we know

All of South Texas and the coast should be preparing for a hurricane.

Beryl is expected to make landfall late Sunday or early Monday morning somewhere near or along Coastal Bend as a category 1 or 2 hurricane. Latest computer guidance continues to suggest a pull northward along the Texas coast.

This will be highly dependent on how strong Beryl gets. There is indication that it could go through rapid intensification. If that happens, it would mean more time over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico leading to a landfall farther north along the coast.

Dangerous rip currents and rough seas will develop through the weekend. Widespread heavy rain, especially Sunday night and Monday, will result in an increased risk for flash flooding.

There is also a threat for tornadoes. 

What remains uncertain

There is still some uncertainty with exact strength and track Beryl will take, but guidance continues to trend northward. The earliest arrival of tropical storm-forced winds is Sunday morning. Most likely this will happen Sunday night.

Better computer modeling will happen when Beryl reemerges into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.

Our team of meteorologists dives deep into the science of weather and breaks down timely weather data and information. To view more weather and climate stories, check out our weather blogs section.